Flash: USD/JPY could see rally extend – UBS

FXstreet.com (New York) - The ink is not yet dry on Sunday’s election result, but Japan’s government is already preparing to capitalize on the outcome, notes Research Analyst Gareth Berry.

Key quotes

“The latest comments suggest fiscal policy could be deployed to sustain the fledgling recovery. Having secured control of both parliamentary chambers, this is now a realistic possibility.”

“Fiscal stimulus should be good for Japanese equities, and what’s good for equities is likely to support the USD/JPY if existing correlations hold.”

“The 9-month old USD/JPY rally has been built largely on the promise (and delivery) of aggressive monetary easing. Implementing a new fiscal dimension now could see the rally extend.”

Japanese net sellers of foreign stocks

International Transactions in Securities for the week ended July 19 just came out. The data shows Japan buying foreign bonds at 549.3bn vs Y 1105.7bn week earlier. Meanwhile, Japan buying foreign stocks came at -56.7bn vs Y-88.2 bn the week before. Foreign buying of Japan bond saw an increase of 790.3bn vs Y 0.8 bn, while foreign buying of Japan stocks stood at 349.8bn vs Y 398.2 bn
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GBP/AUD testing 3-week highs area above 1.6750

The GBP/AUD foreign exchange cross rate is last trading at fresh session highs 1.6753, taking advantage of massive Aussie weakness following yesterday's worse than expected China PMI data.
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